Three scary charts for Democrats’ hopes of keeping the Senate majority

by - October 09, 2014

Five fresh Fox News polls released Wednesday night show Republicans leading in key races for the GOP to win control of the Senate in next month’s midterm elections. The first live-caller, nonpartisan poll of the general election in Alaska has GOP challenger Dan Sullivan slightly ahead of Sen. Mark Begich by 4 points, 44 percent to 40 percent.

Source: Fox polls: GOP leads key Senate races - James Hohmann - POLITICO.com

I wrote recently that Republicans are increasingly viewing the battle for the Senate this fall as a repeat of what happened in 2006 -- except in reverse. That is, an unpopular president drags down his party in a handful of swing states and costs his side the majority. But, unlike 2006 when that president was George W. Bush and the victims were Senate Republicans, this time it's Barack Obama and Senate Democrats who look likely to pay the political price. Now Republican pollster Patrick Lanne of Public Opinion Strategies is out with a series of charts affirming that 2006 and 2014 are indeed very close analogs -- and why that fact should really worry Democrats trying to hold on to their Senate majority. Three in particular caught my eye.

Source: Three scary charts for Democrats’ hopes of keeping the Senate majority - The Washington Post

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