California vs. the Gerrymander: Why Republicans are Quaking - TIME


That may have an important impact on Washington, Rexroad says. "In California, because of the demographics of the state, it's highly likely that there will be fewer safe Republican seats in Congress. It's really a question of the magnitude of that number: whether it's one or two or five," says Rexroad, who is also a partner at political consulting firm Meridian Pacific. "A net swing of five is critical for the outcome of the speakership and tight votes on debt limits and all kinds of other things." This means that to have a chance, Republicans who find their seats threatened will need to run campaigns that target Latino, female and young voters more than they have in the past, Schnur says.